10/06/2026
The delivery of this may make all the difference.
There’s more to the picture than simply higher guaranteed returns.
How do returns affect your ability to grow beyond the rate of inflation?
Should we tell him??
Yes, $1 million in the S&P 500 might only generate around $10,500 in dividends today…
But, dividends aren’t the whole return. There is also stock price appreciation which offers potentially massive returns.
The S&P 500 has historically returned roughly 8–10% per year on average, including dividends.
At 8%, $1 million compounded for 30 years becomes about $10.1 million.
At 10%, it becomes about $17.4 million.
Over 30 years, the Treasury pays you $1.69 million in interest.
Add the original $1 million back: $2.69 million.
Vs.
$17.4 million.
That’s the tradeoff.
Treasuries give you certainty.
Stocks give you the potential for serious appreciation.
I know where I’m putting my money.