10/08/2026
The Price Is Noise. The Income Is the Return.
One of the biggest misconceptions about bonds is that when interest rates rise, bonds are automatically a bad investment.
That’s not necessarily true.
Yes, bond prices fall when rates rise. You’ll see that decline reflected in the value of a bond fund or ETF.
But here’s what often gets overlooked:
Bonds aren’t just about price. They’re about income.
Consider a five-year bond yielding 4.5%.
If rates rise by 1%, the bond might lose roughly 4.4% in value.
But it’s also paying you about 4.5% in interest that year.
Over five years, that’s roughly 22.5% of income.
And if you hold an individual bond to maturity, you generally receive the face value back at maturity, assuming the issuer makes its payments.
That changes the way I think about rising rates.
Higher rates aren't necessarily the enemy of an income investor. They can actually be a raise.
As bonds mature and the proceeds are reinvested at higher yields, the income generated by the portfolio can increase.
And historically, starting yields have been a powerful indicator of longer-term bond returns.
That’s especially important today.
In 2022, bonds suffered one of their worst years ever. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index fell roughly 13%.
But the bond market entered that year yielding less than 2%.
There simply wasn't much income to cushion the decline.
Today, yields are considerably higher.
That means investors have a much larger income cushion than they did heading into 2022.
So the next time you see a headline saying “Bonds are falling,” don't just look at the price.
Ask:
What am I getting paid to own them?
And perhaps even more importantly:
What will that income look like over the next 5–10 years?
Price matters if you need to sell tomorrow.
But if you're investing for retirement income, stability and long-term cash flow, the income is the part that compounds.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.