10/09/2026
If the stock market averages 10% a year, why not withdraw more than 4% in retirement?
Because average returns don’t mean consistent returns.
Some years the market is up 20%. Other years, it may be down 20%. And withdrawing too much during a down market can have a lasting impact on your retirement savings.
That’s why understanding how much you can sustainably withdraw matters just as much as how your investments perform.
The 4% rule is a starting point not a personalized retirement income plan.