Exact Macro

The AI boom is beating stagflation in the long-run:

https://exactmacro.substack.com/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-a32?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 09/11/2026 The AI boom is beating stagflation in the long-run.

The economy is sailing through despite the storms:

https://exactmacro.substack.com/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-68b?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 09/04/2026 The economy is sailing through despite the storms.

Today, I’m excited to announce the soft launch of Exact Macro (https://exactmacro.com), which is a lightweight, market-based portfolio stress-testing platform built specifically for financial advisors and wealth managers.

For advisors, client review meetings often hit the same friction point: traditional Monte Carlo simulations and legacy 40-page PDF reports can overwhelm clients with statistical noise while failing to answer their most pressing question:

"What happens to my portfolio if inflation stays sticky or interest rates spike again?"

Exact Macro translates rigorous, market-based macroeconomic indicators into intuitive, client-ready risk visualizations in seconds.

Key features for advisors:

• Fast Macro Regime Modeling: Stress-test multi-asset allocations against inflation shocks, interest rate regimes, and historical drawdowns in real time.

• Multi-Horizon & Multi-Category Risk: View exposure clearly across timeframes and risk types without wading through complex menus.

• Stateless & Zero-PII by Design: No client names, account numbers, or sensitive financial records are stored, eliminating compliance friction and cybersecurity overhead.

• Built for Client Conversations: Clean, visual outputs designed to provide clarity and calm anxiety during volatile markets.

We're kicking off with a 30-day free trial so advisors can test live model allocations directly in their workflow.

Explore the platform here: https://exactmacro.com

Because this is a soft launch, your feedback is invaluable. If you're an advisor or investment manager, I’d love to hear your candid thoughts on how it fits into your client review process.

Hot Caution for Stocks and the Economy:

https://exactmacro.substack.com/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-66d

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 08/28/2026 Hot Caution for Stocks and the Economy

Markets reflect hot optimism:

https://exactmacro.substack.com/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-bde?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 08/21/2026 Hot optimism

Stock price gains have been unreal this year:

https://exactmacro.substack.com/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-d1a?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 08/14/2026 This year in stocks is unreal.

The economy and stocks are increasingly overheating. When is the reckoning?

https://open.substack.com/pub/exactmacro/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-316?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 08/07/2026 The economy and stock market continue to overheat.

An increasingly global war isn't worrying US markets much.

https://open.substack.com/pub/exactmacro/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-ba0?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 07/31/2026 A global war is spreading, but markets aren't that worried.

The US economy and stock market are really heating up.

https://open.substack.com/pub/exactmacro/p/stock-and-gdp-outlook-for-week-ending-c76?r=5h6ub&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 07/24/2026 The heating US economy is real.