09/25/2026
Title: 3 Signs You're Exposed to Sequence-of-Returns Risk
Description: Is your retirement plan built for bad timing? π
A market drop hits very differently depending on when it happens. Early in retirement, it can cause lasting damage that the same drop a decade later simply wouldn't.
That's sequence-of-returns risk β and most people don't know they're exposed to it until they're already living it.
Here are 3 signs your plan may be more vulnerable than you think:
1οΈβ£ The bulk of your savings is in pre-tax accounts like a traditional 401(k) or IRA. Every withdrawal is taxable, so covering a $5,000 expense could mean selling $6,500 or more in shares β from a portfolio that's already down.
2οΈβ£ You're within five years of retiring or five years into it. Morningstar calls this the "retirement red zone" β the window where timing risk is at its peak.
3οΈβ£ You have no cash or bond cushion outside your stock portfolio. Without one, every withdrawal pulls directly from wherever the market is that day.
The market will have rough patches. The question is whether your strategy accounts for when those patches arrive.
Which of these three resonates with your current situation? Drop it in the comments. π
Warren Burger is a financial advisor.