10/05/2026
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐พ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป๐ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด?
Sequence of returns risk refers to the danger that market declines early in retirement can permanently damage a portfolio's ability to generate income. During accumulation, market dips allow investors to purchase shares at lower prices. When taking regular withdrawals, market drops force the sale of more shares to cover baseline living costs.
Those liquidated shares cannot participate in subsequent market recoveries. The order in which investment returns occur - rather than long-term average returns - exerts a significant influence on overall outcomes once withdrawals begin. Retirement Planning during the five years leading up to retirement and the first five years after (often called the "Fragile Decade") aims to protect capital against early drawdowns.
According to research published by the Journal of Financial Planning, a portfolio subjected to negative returns during the first three years of withdrawals carries a significantly higher probability of early depletion compared to a portfolio experiencing identical negative returns a decade later.
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