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💱 The average lifespan of a fiat currency is just 27 years.

History shows a clear pattern: fiat money doesn’t live long. Almost every government‑issued currency eventually collapses, devalues, or gets replaced.

Key insights:

• Massive loss of value . Even long‑lasting currencies like the USD and GBP have lost 97–99% of their original purchasing power.
• Short life cycle . Most fiat currencies survive only a few decades before reforms, redenominations, or hyperinflation wipe them out.
• Post‑1971 decline . After the dollar detached from gold, global money became pure trust backed only by government promises.

The market is now pricing 1.5 rate hikes by year-end
Source: ,

The Union's goods trade with totaled €768 billion in the twelve months ending April 2026, with €572 billion in imports and €196 billion in exports. The resulting €376 billion trade was the second largest on record, underscoring Europe's continued dependence on manufactured goods despite efforts to diversify chains and reduce strategic vulnerabilities. Source:

The largest US tech giants —
from to , , , , and —
now represent more market value than the entire stock markets of Union and Kingdom combined.

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The for 2025 remained in the red at $901.5 billion. This marks one of the largest gaps in history, slightly down (0.2%) from the $903 billion recorded in 2024, despite new policies. December 2025 saw a sharp 32.6% rise in the deficit to $70.3 billion due to surging imports. Source:

Net long positions in dropped -23% last week, to 93,438 contracts, the lowest in 15 weeks and near the lowest in at least 12 months. This comes after gold suffered its biggest single-day plunge since 2013 on January 30. Net long positioning has now fallen -60% from the February 2025 peak of ~240,000 contracts. fund sentiment on precious is shifting rapidly. Source: Global Markets , Bloomberg

Microsoft, $MSFT, has erased all of its outperformance vs. the S&P 500 since launched in November 2022. The stock is now -27% below its highs, the largest drawdown in over a decade outside of 2022. It also ERASED over 2 years of gains. The MSFT/SPX ratio is down to its lowest since November 2022 and well below the 5-year average. One of the biggest investors is now one of the WORST-performing mega-cap stocks. is not fancy anymore.
Source: , Global Markets Investor

📈 The 10-year/6-month yield curve is flattening

A recent signal from the leading indicator that has predicted recessions since 1970 points to trouble.
⏺️Yield curve: Normal (10-year yields above 6-month yields) indicates a healthy economy and long-term investment.
⏺️An inverted curve after 1-3 months is an early warning sign and requires close monitoring.
⏺️If the curve remains inverted for more than 6 months, it could herald a recession within 12-18 months. Currently, the yield curve between 6-month and 10-year bonds is inverted.
There's still time, but the chances are high that a recession will begin in the US in 2026 and then spread globally. Risky assets could decline sharply. But on the other hand, this will open a window of opportunity for profitable purchases in both spring 2020 and autumn 2022.