28/10/2025
This week will see the publication of important news that could set the tone for the market in the medium term. Here is a brief overview of what to expect:
đź’µ Dollar (USD)
If the Fed does indeed cut rates to 4.00% and hints at a pause or further easing in its press conference, the USD will weaken against most currencies.
The main pressure is expected in the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and XAU/USD pairs.
However, if the Fed takes a tougher tone (“we are watching, but are ready to raise rates again if inflation rises”), the dollar may strengthen temporarily after the meeting.
Forecast: short-term weakening of the dollar, especially towards Thursday-Friday.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
Falling interest rates and declining bond yields are a powerful positive for gold.
If the dollar does indeed correct, gold may strengthen, but it is important to monitor developments in the tariff war between the US and China, Trump's statements...
Forecast: growth is likely, but according to statistics, the price falls before the Fed meeting in order to then continue growing from a more advantageous position.
â‚ż Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
BTC traditionally reacts to dollar weakness and soft Fed policy with growth.
If the market perceives the rate cut as a signal for future QE-like measures, an upward momentum can be expected.
Forecast: a moderately bullish scenario until the end of the week, especially with a weak USD and stable inflation
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