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WEEKLY WRAP – May 25
What Happened Last Week:
- U.S. Stocks Slipped: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq had their worst week since early April, dragged down by fiscal concerns and new trade threats from the Trump administration.
- U.S. Deficit Worries Grew: A newly passed tax and spending bill could add $3.8 trillion to the U.S. debt over the next 10 years — weighing on the dollar and risk sentiment.
- Tariff Escalation: Trump proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports starting June 1, triggering a sharp drop in European stocks and adding further geopolitical risk to the market.
- Oil Dropped: OPEC+ floated the idea of raising output again in July. WTI crude fell sharply on the week.
- Gold Exploded: Gold surged following a failed bond auction and inflation fears, with XAUUSD spiking through multiple resistance zones.
- Bitcoin followed, rising 7%.
- Crypto Mixed: While BTC held firm, altcoins like Ripple and Stellar faced significant pressure.

The Week Ahead:
AUD/CHF: Possible long if we get a clean third push from current consolidation.
CAD/CHF: Watching for a breakout from level 1 consolidation. A higher low may confirm the trend.
GBP/AUD: +100 pips already captured — monitoring for follow-through.
GBP/CAD: Push 1 appears done; watching for the next wave if price breaks the recent high.
USD/CAD: Took out 1.3730 lows — stop-hunt behavior evident. Potential reversal zone.
Crypto: Bitcoin holding firm, but alts like XRP and Stellar are struggling. Stay cautious.

Macro Events to Watch:
Monday: U.S. Durable Goods Orders
Tuesday: Eurozone Consumer Confidence
Wednesday: U.S. GDP (Second Estimate)
Thursday: Eurozone Inflation Data
Friday: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

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WEEKLY WRAP – MAY 18 💥
What Happened Last Week:

- U.S. Inflation Surprised Slightly Lower: CPI came in just below forecasts, reviving rate cut hopes and giving equities a mid-week boost.
- Powell Reiterated Patience: The Fed chair maintained his stance on needing more data before acting on rates — balancing soft inflation with still-resilient labor data.
-UK GDP Beat Expectations: Britain posted stronger-than-expected growth figures, lifting the pound despite continued BoE caution.
- Oil Rebounded Modestly: WTI climbed back above $79 after earlier pressure from inventory builds and OPEC+ output rumors.
- Gold & Silver Lost Momentum: Both metals faced resistance after last week’s strong showing. Market cycle positioning suggests a top could be in for now.
📉 Crypto Pulled Back: Stellar (XLM), Ripple (XRP), and Bitcoin all came under pressure midweek.

What to Watch This Week:
- FOMC Minutes (Weds): Insight into the Fed’s thinking on inflation stickiness and timing of possible cuts.
- Eurozone Flash PMIs (Thurs): Key data to gauge economic divergence in the bloc.
- UK CPI (Weds): Crucial for sterling pairs, especially with BoE on the fence.
- China Industrial Data: Could shape commodity FX including AUD and NZD.
- Earnings Season Wind-Down: Watch for retail names and guidance into Q3.

FX Setups & Pattern Insights:
- AUDCHF and CADCHF – Beautiful textbook harmonic setups emerging, both looking like they’re forming Gartley patterns with solid change-of-character triggers.
- GBPCAD – Two weeks of rise suggests week 3 momentum incoming — textbook cycle pattern in play.
- EURCAD – Target 1 hit, with potential continuation if market conditions align.
- USDCHF & US500 – Show strong structure and likely to break higher if levels clear.

WEEKLY WRAP – MAY 11
What Happened Last Week:
- FX and macro sentiment seesawed on trade news, central bank decisions, and shifting rate expectations.
- U.S. equities found support on Trump’s trade optimism with the UK, while U.S. Treasuries sold off after a weak 30-year auction.
- The Bank of England cut rates by 25bps (5–4 vote), with two MPC members favouring no change and two preferring a deeper cut — a clear sign of divided outlooks.
- Oil surged over 3% on improved trade sentiment.
- Gold slipped on easing tensions and a stronger USD.
- Initial jobless claims in the U.S. surprised to the downside, underscoring labour
market resilience.

What to Watch This Week:
- U.S. CPI inflation — Wednesday’s data is pivotal for dollar direction and risk
sentiment.
- UK GDP (Friday) and jobs data (Tuesday) may drive GBP volatility.
- Eurozone final CPI and industrial output in focus.
- China trade figures to impact commodity and FX flows.
- Oil positioning after the OPEC+ update and geopolitical headlines.

FX Trades to Watch:
✅ AUDUSD – Break → Retest structure; W-formation aligning with cycle.
✅ EURNZD & EURAUD – Long setups emerging from harmonic zones.
✅ USDJPY – Completed a strong 3-leg push; watching for further continuation.
✅ GBPCHF – Retesting structure after breakout — trend building.
✅ EURCAD – Tracking for a final drop into harmonic completion.
🥈 Silver – Bullish trend intact; retesting support around 50 EMA.

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WTFX WEEKLY – MAY 4
• U.S. tech earnings fuel Nasdaq rally, while investors shift to bonds & global markets.
• China tightens tariffs; rare earth exports at risk.
• Oil drops 8% ahead of OPEC+ hike; gold steady, silver swings.
• Euro struggles despite ECB easing.

This week:
• U.S. NFP & PMI in focus
• Eurozone retail + ECB updates
• China–U.S. trade tensions
• UK inflation & BoE signals
• Oil markets post-OPEC+

FX Trades to Watch:
• EURUSD: Holding structure watching for continuation above pivot.
• EURCAD: Still in bullish sequence; nearing reversal zone.
• EURNZD: Monitoring for upside extension after harmonic completion.
• USDCAD: In a fib support zone watching for confirmation of a turn.
• NZDCAD: Breakout pattern forming bullish bias if confirmed.
• Silver: Under pressure post-rejection; could drop deeper unless support holds.

WTFX WEEKLY – APRIL 27

U.S.–China trade tensions heat up, supply chains feel the pressure
Globalization stumbles as tariffs and protectionism take center stage
The dollar stays on shaky ground with ongoing uncertainty
Gold takes a wild ride, dropping $250 after a brief climb
Despite the chaos, Tesla and Alphabet keep pushing higher

What to watch:

• Big moves expected from U.S. GDP, PCE, and NFP reports
• Fresh numbers from the Eurozone on inflation and GDP
• Key speeches from the Fed and ECB — inflation clues ahead
• China–U.S. trade talks back in focus
• Canada’s election could shake up market sentiment

FX Trades to Watch:

EURUSD: We’re watching for continuation if the price holds above the weekly pivot point.
EURCAD: The trend is still bullish, and we expect prices to move higher.
EURNZD: We’re looking for a reaction as the price is close to completing a pattern.
USDCAD : It’s testing support—we’ll need more data to confirm which way it will go.
NZDCAD : A breakout is happening, and we’re expecting a bullish move.
Silver: We’re watching for a breakout if it moves past last week's highs.

WTFX WEEKLY – APRIL 19

📉 Trump pauses tariffs after market chaos
🇨🇳 China fires back – 125% tariffs, Boeing blacklisted
🇪🇺 ECB cuts to 2.40%
💸 USD stays weak
🥇 Gold holds firm above $3,300

🔮 What to watch:
• EURUSD + EURCAD – continuation potential
• EURNZD – could extend beyond Gartley
• USDCAD – fib support zone + macro tailwind
• Silver – consolidation or next leg up
• NZDCAD – L1 structure forming

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Eid Mubarak!

Wishing you and your loved ones a wonderful Eid from the FX Unlocked team.