Kathy Lien CFP

🚨 Gold is testing a major psychological level: $4,000/oz After falling to its lowest level in seven months, the big question isn’t whether $4,000 gets tested—it’s whether gold can **close and hold above it**. What’s driving the selloff? 📈 A stronger U.S. dollar after the Fed’s hawkish hold 📉 Leveraged positions being liquidated 🌍 Easing safe-haven demand 🗓️ Potential quarter-end and half-year window dressing Key levels to watch in the video Could this be the start of a deeper correction or is gold approaching a major buying zone?

Gold traders went into the Fed meeting hoping Kevin Warsh would open the door to rate cuts. What they got was the opposite.

Nine Fed officials now project rates finishing the year above current levels. The probability of a September hike jumped from 38% to 63% in a single session. Warsh made clear that inflation is still too high to seriously discuss cuts, and that a growing number of officials believe policy may actually need to tighten further from here.

Gold reversed lower almost immediately. And it wasn't just a sentiment reaction.

Higher rates hurt gold on two fronts at once. When Treasury yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold goes up. When rate expectations push the dollar higher, gold becomes more expensive for international buyers. Both things are happening right now.

The chart is confirming what the macro is saying. Gold has broken below its 200-day moving average, one of the most closely watched long-term trend indicators in the market. The next major support is around $4,000 and if that breaks decisively, the selloff could go much deeper before buyers step back in.

🚨 Markets ripping on the Iran deal. Don't get comfortable.
This is the most dangerous week of the quarter:
🔹 $CL crude cracked a 3-month low on Hormuz reopening

🔹 $NQ futures up 2%, risk-on everywhere

🔹 Warsh runs his FIRST Fed meeting Wed (new dot plot, likely easing-to-neutral shift)

🔹 5 central banks decide rates, $USDJPY in play as BoJ hikes

🔹 Retail sales drops SAME day as the Fed

🔹 Iran deal "done" but not signed til Friday (and US closed for Juneteenth)
One headline and this whole move reverses.

Wall Street is DONE with this war, but the market isn't done with us. 📉 Stocks are somehow holding green despite ugly data: PPI came in hot, jobs came in weak, the worst combo for equities. Stagflation whispers are getting louder. Meanwhile, Trump just threatened to take Kharg Island - Iran's oil lifeline and the ECB went ahead with a rate hike anyway. Traders are desperate to move on. The headlines won't let them.

Stocks won't quit. 📈 Oil's sliding, yields are cooling, and the rebound just keeps extending. Watch the video to understand what is doing all the heavy lifting. Implications for Fed, inflation and more

Most trading strategies are built around prediction. Where is price going next? What will the Nasdaq do at the open? Which direction does this setup favor? Okala built over $5 million in prop firm payouts by asking a completely different question. When price reaches an important level, does it reject or continue? That's it. That's the entire foundation of his 80/20 strategy. He identifies the 80 and 20 levels within a trading range, watches how price behaves when it gets there, and trades the reaction rather than the forecast. A sharp rejection with a long wick tells one story. A clean break that accelerates tells another. He uses the 10-minute chart to read structure and the 200-second chart to execute with precision. Rules Based System This is our interpretation of how the 80/20 levels can be used to trade